3B · NYY
Ryan McMahon — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 51 games this season, Ryan McMahon (NYY) is averaging 0.12 home runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.3. 12% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.15 comes in under the market line of 1.21.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ryan McMahon went over in 6 of 51 2026 games.
Our projection 0.15 vs market line 1.21 — edge -1.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/51 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games McMahon finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan McMahon’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.