3B · NYY
Ryan McMahon — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Ryan McMahon (NYY) sits at 0.31 runs per game through 51 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 27% of games. We project 0.43, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Ryan McMahon went over in 14 of 51 2026 games.
Our projection 0.43 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 14/51 | 27% |
| 1.5 | 2/51 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games McMahon finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan McMahon’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.