RF · TB
Ryan Vilade — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Ryan Vilade (TB) sits at 0.68 hits per game through 34 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.7. They've gone over 0.5 in 44% of those games. We project 0.89, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 58% to hit, +0.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Ryan Vilade went over in 15 of 34 2026 games.
Our projection 0.89 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.39.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/34 | 44% |
| 1.5 | 5/34 | 15% |
| 2.5 | 3/34 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Vilade finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Vilade’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.