EdgeTake

CF · AZ

Ryan Waldschmidt — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
23
Runs
10
Per Game
0.43
Projection
0.37
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ryan Waldschmidt (AZ) sits at 0.43 runs per game through 23 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 35% of games this season. We project 0.37, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +210 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -295 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Ryan Waldschmidt went over in 8 of 23 2026 games.

Our projection 0.37 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.58/2335%
1.52/239%

Share of 2026 games Waldschmidt finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.43

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.82
Away (12)
0.08
Home edge
+0.73

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-10vs NYM1Over
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-17vs COL0Under
2026-05-19vs SF2Over
2026-05-20vs SF1Over
2026-05-20vs SF2Over
2026-05-22vs COL1Over
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-25vs SF0Under
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryan Waldschmidt’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.