EdgeTake

C · KC

Salvador Perez — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Runs
22
Per Game
0.38
Projection
0.37
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Salvador Perez (KC) has averaged 0.38 runs per game across 58 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.4. 31% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.37, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +122 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -155 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Salvador Perez went over in 18 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.37 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.518/5831%
1.54/587%

Share of 2026 games Perez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.38

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.39
Away (27)
0.37
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL0Under
2026-03-28vs ATL1Over
2026-03-29vs ATL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIN0Under
2026-04-01vs MIN1Over
2026-04-02vs MIN0Under
2026-04-03vs MIL2Over
2026-04-04vs MIL0Under
2026-04-05vs MIL0Under
2026-04-06vs CLE0Under
2026-04-07vs CLE0Under
2026-04-08vs CLE0Under
2026-04-09vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs CWS0Under
2026-04-11vs CWS0Under
2026-04-12vs CWS0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-16vs DET1Over
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY0Under
2026-04-20vs BAL1Over
2026-04-21vs BAL0Under
2026-04-22vs BAL0Under
2026-04-24vs LAA0Under
2026-04-25vs LAA2Over
2026-04-26vs LAA1Over
2026-04-29vs ATH1Over
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs SEA2Over
2026-05-03vs SEA0Under
2026-05-03vs SEA1Over
2026-05-04vs CLE1Over
2026-05-05vs CLE0Under
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-07vs CLE0Under
2026-05-08vs DET0Under
2026-05-09vs DET0Under
2026-05-12vs CWS1Over
2026-05-13vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs STL1Over
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-17vs STL1Over
2026-05-18vs BOS0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS0Under
2026-05-20vs BOS1Over
2026-05-22vs SEA0Under
2026-05-23vs SEA0Under
2026-05-24vs SEA1Over
2026-05-25vs NYY2Over
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-27vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs CIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Salvador Perez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.