EdgeTake

LF · CWS

Sam Antonacci — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
43
Runs
25
Per Game
0.58
Projection
0.67
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 43 games this season, Sam Antonacci (CWS) is averaging 0.58 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.5. 44% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.67, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +180 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -229 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Sam Antonacci went over in 19 of 43 2026 games.

Our projection 0.67 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/4344%
1.56/4314%

Share of 2026 games Antonacci finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.58

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.61
Away (20)
0.55
Home edge
+0.06

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-15vs TB1Over
2026-04-16vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs ATH0Under
2026-04-18vs ATH0Under
2026-04-19vs ATH0Under
2026-04-22vs AZ1Over
2026-04-23vs AZ0Under
2026-04-23vs AZ0Under
2026-04-24vs WSH1Over
2026-04-25vs WSH0Under
2026-04-27vs LAA1Over
2026-04-28vs LAA1Over
2026-04-29vs LAA0Under
2026-05-02vs SD1Over
2026-05-03vs SD1Over
2026-05-03vs SD0Under
2026-05-05vs LAA2Over
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-06vs LAA0Under
2026-05-08vs SEA1Over
2026-05-09vs SEA2Over
2026-05-10vs SEA0Under
2026-05-12vs KC1Over
2026-05-13vs KC0Under
2026-05-14vs KC1Over
2026-05-15vs CHC0Under
2026-05-16vs CHC2Over
2026-05-17vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA0Under
2026-05-20vs SEA1Over
2026-05-23vs SF2Over
2026-05-23vs SF1Over
2026-05-24vs SF0Under
2026-05-25vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs MIN0Under
2026-05-27vs MIN2Over
2026-05-28vs MIN1Over
2026-05-29vs DET0Under
2026-05-30vs DET0Under
2026-05-31vs DET0Under
2026-06-01vs MIN2Over
2026-06-02vs MIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sam Antonacci’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.