EdgeTake

LF · TEX

Sam Haggerty — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
27
Runs
2
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.45
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Sam Haggerty (TEX) sits at 0.07 runs per game through 27 games, trending up to 0.1 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 7% of games this season. Our projection of 0.45 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +214 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -250 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Sam Haggerty went over in 2 of 27 2026 games.

Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/277%
1.50/270%

Share of 2026 games Haggerty finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.07

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.00
Away (15)
0.13
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-29vs PHI1Over
2026-04-01vs BAL0Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-19vs SEA0Under
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ0Under
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL1Over
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sam Haggerty’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.