C · BAL
Samuel Basallo — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Samuel Basallo (BAL) has averaged 0.47 runs per game across 49 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.4 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 45% of games this season. Our model projects 0.38, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Samuel Basallo went over in 22 of 49 2026 games.
Our projection 0.38 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.12.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22/49 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 1/49 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Basallo finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Samuel Basallo’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.