EdgeTake

C · BAL

Samuel Basallo — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
49
Total Bases
83
Per Game
1.69
Projection
1.43
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Samuel Basallo (BAL) sits at 1.69 total bases per game through 49 games, while recent form sits lower at 1.5 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 37% of games this season. We project 1.43, about even with the market line of 1.45.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -170 at Caesars — model 61% to hit, -2.5% EV.

Over 1.5 +127 CaesarsUnder 1.5 -170 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Samuel Basallo went over in 18 of 49 2026 games.

Our projection 1.43 vs market line 1.45 — edge -0.02.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.531/4963%
1.518/4937%
2.513/4927%
3.510/4920%

Share of 2026 games Basallo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.50
Season avg
1.69

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
2.00
Away (22)
1.32
Home edge
+0.68

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIN1Under
2026-03-28vs MIN0Under
2026-03-29vs MIN1Under
2026-03-31vs TEX0Under
2026-04-01vs TEX5Over
2026-04-03vs PIT0Under
2026-04-05vs PIT0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS1Under
2026-04-10vs SF0Under
2026-04-11vs SF0Under
2026-04-12vs SF4Over
2026-04-13vs AZ0Under
2026-04-14vs AZ5Over
2026-04-16vs CLE0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC2Over
2026-04-21vs KC0Under
2026-04-22vs KC1Under
2026-04-24vs BOS8Over
2026-04-26vs BOS5Over
2026-04-28vs HOU3Over
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-01vs NYY1Under
2026-05-02vs NYY2Over
2026-05-03vs NYY1Under
2026-05-04vs NYY0Under
2026-05-05vs MIA6Over
2026-05-06vs MIA1Under
2026-05-07vs MIA2Over
2026-05-08vs ATH1Under
2026-05-09vs ATH2Over
2026-05-10vs ATH2Over
2026-05-12vs NYY3Over
2026-05-15vs WSH1Under
2026-05-16vs WSH4Over
2026-05-17vs WSH1Under
2026-05-19vs TB0Under
2026-05-20vs TB5Over
2026-05-22vs DET0Under
2026-05-23vs DET1Under
2026-05-24vs DET0Under
2026-05-25vs TB0Under
2026-05-26vs TB4Over
2026-05-28vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs TOR5Over
2026-05-30vs TOR1Under
2026-05-31vs TOR3Over
2026-06-02vs BOS1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Samuel Basallo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.