EdgeTake

3B · LAD

Santiago Espinal — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Runs
4
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.38
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 20 games this season, Santiago Espinal (LAD) is averaging 0.2 runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 20% of games. We project 0.38, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +155 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -202 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Santiago Espinal went over in 4 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.38 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.12.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/2020%
1.50/200%

Share of 2026 games Espinal finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.18
Away (9)
0.22
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-29vs AZ0Under
2026-04-05vs WSH1Over
2026-04-06vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TEX0Under
2026-04-14vs NYM0Under
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-18vs COL0Under
2026-04-21vs COL1Over
2026-04-25vs CHC1Over
2026-04-26vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs SF1Over
2026-05-15vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs LAA0Under
2026-05-23vs MIL0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Santiago Espinal’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.