C · LAA
Sebastián Rivero — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 17 games this season, Sebastián Rivero (LAA) is averaging 0.35 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.3. The over on 0.5 has hit in 29% of games. Our projection of 0.61 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +114 at DraftKings — model 49% to hit, +5.0% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Sebastián Rivero went over in 5 of 17 2026 games.
Our projection 0.61 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.11.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/17 | 29% |
| 1.5 | 1/17 | 6% |
| 2.5 | 0/17 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Rivero finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sebastián Rivero’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.