EdgeTake

RF · CHC

Seiya Suzuki — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
47
Runs
25
Per Game
0.53
Projection
0.46
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 47 games this season, Seiya Suzuki (CHC) is averaging 0.53 runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 43% of games this season. Our model projects 0.46, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +130 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -165 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Seiya Suzuki went over in 20 of 47 2026 games.

Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.520/4743%
1.55/4711%

Share of 2026 games Suzuki finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.53

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.48
Away (24)
0.58
Home edge
-0.11

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-10vs PIT0Under
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT1Over
2026-04-13vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs PHI1Over
2026-04-15vs PHI1Over
2026-04-17vs NYM2Over
2026-04-18vs NYM1Over
2026-04-19vs NYM0Under
2026-04-20vs PHI0Under
2026-04-21vs PHI1Over
2026-04-22vs PHI1Over
2026-04-23vs PHI2Over
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-26vs LAD0Under
2026-04-28vs SD2Over
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-01vs AZ0Under
2026-05-02vs AZ0Under
2026-05-03vs AZ1Over
2026-05-04vs CIN1Over
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX2Over
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-10vs TEX0Under
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL0Under
2026-05-15vs CWS2Over
2026-05-16vs CWS0Under
2026-05-17vs CWS1Over
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT1Over
2026-05-28vs PIT1Over
2026-05-29vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs STL1Over
2026-05-31vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Seiya Suzuki’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.