TWP · LAD
Shohei Ohtani — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 56 games this season, Shohei Ohtani (LAD) is averaging 0.71 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.7. The over on 0.5 has hit in 52% of games. Our model projects 0.9, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Shohei Ohtani went over in 29 of 56 2026 games.
Our projection 0.9 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.4.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/56 | 52% |
| 1.5 | 11/56 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Ohtani finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Shohei Ohtani’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.