EdgeTake

TWP · LAD

Shohei Ohtani — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
56
Total Bases
111
Per Game
1.98
Projection
2.5
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) has averaged 1.98 total bases per game across 56 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 2.6 over the last 10. 45% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our model projects 2.5, a step above the market line of 1.53.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 54% to hit, -2.9% EV.

Over 1.5 -125 BetMGMUnder 1.5 +107 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Shohei Ohtani went over in 25 of 56 2026 games.

Our projection 2.5 vs market line 1.53 — edge +0.97.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.538/5668%
1.525/5645%
2.519/5634%
3.516/5629%

Share of 2026 games Ohtani finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.60
Season avg
1.98

Over 1.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
1.74
Away (29)
2.21
Home edge
-0.47

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ1Under
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ0Under
2026-03-31vs CLE1Under
2026-04-01vs CLE1Under
2026-04-02vs CLE0Under
2026-04-03vs WSH5Over
2026-04-04vs WSH2Over
2026-04-05vs WSH6Over
2026-04-06vs TOR5Over
2026-04-07vs TOR1Under
2026-04-08vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TEX1Under
2026-04-12vs TEX5Over
2026-04-12vs TEX4Over
2026-04-14vs NYM0Under
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-18vs COL3Over
2026-04-19vs COL1Under
2026-04-19vs COL4Over
2026-04-21vs COL1Under
2026-04-22vs SF1Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC1Under
2026-04-26vs CHC7Over
2026-04-28vs MIA4Over
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-03vs STL0Under
2026-05-05vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU3Over
2026-05-09vs ATL1Under
2026-05-10vs ATL1Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-12vs SF0Under
2026-05-13vs SF5Over
2026-05-16vs LAA2Over
2026-05-17vs LAA5Over
2026-05-17vs LAA3Over
2026-05-19vs SD2Over
2026-05-20vs SD4Over
2026-05-21vs SD4Over
2026-05-22vs MIL1Under
2026-05-23vs MIL2Over
2026-05-24vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs COL2Over
2026-05-27vs COL0Under
2026-05-28vs COL4Over
2026-05-30vs PHI6Over
2026-05-31vs PHI1Under
2026-05-31vs PHI2Over
2026-06-02vs AZ4Over
2026-06-03vs AZ5Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Shohei Ohtani’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.