EdgeTake

RF · NYY

Spencer Jones — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Hits
4
Per Game
0.40
Projection
0.7
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Spencer Jones (NYY) has averaged 0.4 hits per game across 10 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. 30% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.7, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -109 at BetRivers — model 50% to hit, -4.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -109 BetRiversUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Spencer Jones went over in 3 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 0.7 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.2.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/1030%
1.51/1010%
2.50/100%

Share of 2026 games Jones finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
0.33
Away (7)
0.43
Home edge
-0.10

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL0Under
2026-05-10vs MIL1Over
2026-05-11vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs BAL0Under
2026-05-15vs NYM2Over
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-19vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-21vs TOR1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Spencer Jones’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.