EdgeTake

RF · NYY

Spencer Jones — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Total Bases
4
Per Game
0.40
Projection
1.18
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 10 games this season, Spencer Jones (NYY) is averaging 0.4 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.4. The over on 1.5 has hit in 10% of games. Our model projects 1.18, roughly in line with the 1.17 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 53% to hit, +1.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Spencer Jones went over in 1 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 1.18 vs market line 1.17 — edge +0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/1030%
1.51/1010%
2.50/100%
3.50/100%

Share of 2026 games Jones finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
0.33
Away (7)
0.43
Home edge
-0.10

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-08vs MIL0Under
2026-05-09vs MIL0Under
2026-05-10vs MIL1Under
2026-05-11vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs BAL0Under
2026-05-15vs NYM2Over
2026-05-17vs NYM0Under
2026-05-19vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs TOR0Under
2026-05-21vs TOR1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Spencer Jones’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.