1B · DET
Spencer Torkelson — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Spencer Torkelson (DET) sits at 0.33 runs per game through 61 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.4. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 28% of games this season. Our model projects 0.39, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Spencer Torkelson went over in 17 of 61 2026 games.
Our projection 0.39 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.11.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 17/61 | 28% |
| 1.5 | 3/61 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Torkelson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Spencer Torkelson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.