EdgeTake

RF · KC

Starling Marte — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
24
Hits
16
Per Game
0.67
Projection
0.84
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 24 games this season, Starling Marte (KC) is averaging 0.67 hits per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 58% of games. We project 0.84, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +140 at BetMGM — model 41% to hit, -1.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -182 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Starling Marte went over in 14 of 24 2026 games.

Our projection 0.84 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.34.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/2458%
1.51/244%
2.51/244%

Share of 2026 games Marte finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.67

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.64
Away (13)
0.69
Home edge
-0.06

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL1Over
2026-04-05vs MIL1Over
2026-04-08vs CLE1Over
2026-04-14vs DET1Over
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY1Over
2026-04-24vs LAA1Over
2026-04-26vs LAA1Over
2026-04-30vs ATH3Over
2026-05-06vs CLE1Over
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-13vs CWS1Over
2026-05-14vs CWS1Over
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-18vs BOS0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS1Over
2026-05-20vs BOS1Over
2026-05-25vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs CIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Starling Marte’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.