EdgeTake

RF · KC

Starling Marte — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
24
Runs
4
Per Game
0.17
Projection
0.37
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Starling Marte (KC) sits at 0.17 runs per game through 24 games, trending up to 0.2 across the last 10. 17% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.37, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +152 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -190 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Starling Marte went over in 4 of 24 2026 games.

Our projection 0.37 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/2417%
1.50/240%

Share of 2026 games Marte finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.17

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.27
Away (13)
0.08
Home edge
+0.20

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL0Under
2026-04-05vs MIL1Over
2026-04-08vs CLE0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY0Under
2026-04-24vs LAA1Over
2026-04-26vs LAA0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-13vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-18vs BOS0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS0Under
2026-05-20vs BOS1Over
2026-05-25vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs CIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Starling Marte’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.