EdgeTake

RF · COL

Sterlin Thompson — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
13
Hits
6
Per Game
0.46
Projection
0.56
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Sterlin Thompson (COL) sits at 0.46 hits per game through 13 games, tracking close to that at 0.5 over the last 10. 38% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.56, ahead of the 0.53 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -155 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Sterlin Thompson went over in 5 of 13 2026 games.

Our projection 0.56 vs market line 0.53 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/1338%
1.51/138%
2.50/130%

Share of 2026 games Thompson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.46

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.20
Away (8)
0.63
Home edge
-0.42

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-19vs TEX1Over
2026-05-23vs AZ1Over
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ1Over
2026-05-26vs LAD0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD1Over
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAA2Over
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sterlin Thompson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.