RF · COL
Sterlin Thompson — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 13 games this season, Sterlin Thompson (COL) is averaging 0 home runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 0% of those games. We project 0.08, short of the 0.8 market line.
Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Sterlin Thompson went over in 0 of 13 2026 games.
Our projection 0.08 vs market line 0.8 — edge -0.72.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0/13 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Thompson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sterlin Thompson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.