RF · COL
Sterlin Thompson — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 13 games this season, Sterlin Thompson (COL) is averaging 0.62 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.7. They've gone over 0.5 in 38% of those games. Our projection of 0.99 sits above the market line of 0.85.
Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +106 at Caesars — model 47% to hit, -2.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Sterlin Thompson went over in 5 of 13 2026 games.
Our projection 0.99 vs market line 0.85 — edge +0.14.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/13 | 38% |
| 1.5 | 2/13 | 15% |
| 2.5 | 1/13 | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0/13 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Thompson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Sterlin Thompson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.