LF · BAL
Taylor Ward — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Taylor Ward (BAL) sits at 0.88 hits per game through 60 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.7. The over on 0.5 has hit in 58% of games. Our model projects 0.64, a step above the market line of 0.57.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +150 at Fanatics — model 45% to hit, +12.8% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Taylor Ward went over in 35 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 0.64 vs market line 0.57 — edge +0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 35/60 | 58% |
| 1.5 | 11/60 | 18% |
| 2.5 | 4/60 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Ward finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Taylor Ward’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.