EdgeTake

LF · LAD

Teoscar Hernández — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
51
Runs
30
Per Game
0.59
Projection
0.64
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 51 games this season, Teoscar Hernández (LAD) is averaging 0.59 runs per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.8 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 45% of games. Our model projects 0.64, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Teoscar Hernández went over in 23 of 51 2026 games.

Our projection 0.64 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.523/5145%
1.56/5112%

Share of 2026 games Hernández finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.59

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.52
Away (26)
0.65
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ1Over
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ0Under
2026-03-31vs CLE0Under
2026-04-01vs CLE0Under
2026-04-02vs CLE0Under
2026-04-03vs WSH3Over
2026-04-05vs WSH1Over
2026-04-06vs TOR2Over
2026-04-07vs TOR0Under
2026-04-08vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TEX1Over
2026-04-12vs TEX2Over
2026-04-14vs NYM0Under
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-16vs NYM2Over
2026-04-18vs COL0Under
2026-04-19vs COL0Under
2026-04-21vs COL0Under
2026-04-22vs SF1Over
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC2Over
2026-04-26vs CHC1Over
2026-04-28vs MIA0Under
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-02vs STL1Over
2026-05-03vs STL0Under
2026-05-05vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs ATL1Over
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-12vs SF0Under
2026-05-13vs SF0Under
2026-05-14vs SF1Over
2026-05-15vs SF1Over
2026-05-16vs LAA1Over
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-19vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs SD1Over
2026-05-21vs SD1Over
2026-05-22vs MIL1Over
2026-05-23vs MIL2Over
2026-05-24vs MIL1Over
2026-05-26vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs COL1Over
2026-05-28vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Teoscar Hernández’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.