LF · STL
Thomas Saggese — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Thomas Saggese (STL) has averaged 0.48 hits per game across 25 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. 40% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.55, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +120 at DraftKings — model 50% to hit, +10.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Thomas Saggese went over in 10 of 25 2026 games.
Our projection 0.55 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10/25 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 2/25 | 8% |
| 2.5 | 0/25 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Saggese finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Thomas Saggese’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.