LF · STL
Thomas Saggese — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Thomas Saggese (STL) has averaged 0.04 home runs per game across 25 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. 4% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.06, short of the 0.83 market line.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Thomas Saggese went over in 1 of 25 2026 games.
Our projection 0.06 vs market line 0.83 — edge -0.77.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/25 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Saggese finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Thomas Saggese’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.