LF · STL
Thomas Saggese — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Thomas Saggese (STL) sits at 0.68 total bases per game through 25 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.6 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 40% of games. Our model projects 0.94, a step above the market line of 0.75.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +119 at Caesars — model 46% to hit, +1.0% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Thomas Saggese went over in 10 of 25 2026 games.
Our projection 0.94 vs market line 0.75 — edge +0.19.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10/25 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 3/25 | 12% |
| 2.5 | 3/25 | 12% |
| 3.5 | 1/25 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Saggese finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Thomas Saggese’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.