EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tim Tawa — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Hits
10
Per Game
0.38
Projection
0.5
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 26 games this season, Tim Tawa (AZ) is averaging 0.38 hits per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.4. 38% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.5 comes in under the market line of 0.75.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +110 at BetMGM — model 52% to hit, +10.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -150 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Tim Tawa went over in 10 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.5 vs market line 0.75 — edge -0.25.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/2638%
1.50/260%
2.50/260%

Share of 2026 games Tawa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.38

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.58
Away (14)
0.21
Home edge
+0.37

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD1Over
2026-04-01vs DET1Over
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM0Under
2026-04-09vs NYM1Over
2026-04-10vs PHI0Under
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs TOR1Over
2026-04-19vs TOR1Over
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD1Over
2026-04-28vs MIL1Over
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-19vs SF1Over
2026-05-20vs SF1Over
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tim Tawa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.