EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tim Tawa — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.04
Projection
0.08
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Tim Tawa (AZ) sits at 0.04 home runs per game through 26 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 0% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 0.08 comes in under the market line of 1.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Tim Tawa went over in 0 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 1 — edge -0.92.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/264%

Share of 2026 games Tawa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.04

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.08
Away (14)
0.00
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD0Under
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM0Under
2026-04-09vs NYM0Under
2026-04-10vs PHI0Under
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD1Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-19vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-24vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tim Tawa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.