EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tim Tawa — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Runs
6
Per Game
0.23
Projection
0.37
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tim Tawa (AZ) has averaged 0.23 runs per game across 26 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.4. They've gone over 0.5 in 23% of those games. Our model projects 0.37, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -185 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Tim Tawa went over in 6 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.37 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/2623%
1.50/260%

Share of 2026 games Tawa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.23

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.25
Away (14)
0.21
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD0Under
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM0Under
2026-04-09vs NYM0Under
2026-04-10vs PHI1Over
2026-04-11vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD1Over
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC1Over
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX1Over
2026-05-19vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF1Over
2026-05-24vs COL1Over
2026-05-27vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tim Tawa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.