CF · CIN
TJ Friedl — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 46 games this season, TJ Friedl (CIN) is averaging 0.33 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 26% of games this season. We project 0.48, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), TJ Friedl went over in 12 of 46 2026 games.
Our projection 0.48 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 12/46 | 26% |
| 1.5 | 3/46 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Friedl finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See TJ Friedl’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.