EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tommy Troy — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
8
Hits
8
Per Game
1.00
Projection
0.76
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tommy Troy (AZ) sits at 1 hits per game through 8 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 75% of games this season. We project 0.76, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 51% to hit, -2.4% EV.

Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Tommy Troy went over in 6 of 8 2026 games.

Our projection 0.76 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.26.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/875%
1.52/825%
2.50/80%

Share of 2026 games Troy finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 8 avg
1.00
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 8 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
1.67
Away (5)
0.60
Home edge
+1.07

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-24vs COL2Over
2026-05-25vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD2Over
2026-06-03vs LAD1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tommy Troy’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.