LF · AZ
Tommy Troy — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Tommy Troy (AZ) has averaged 0.88 runs per game across 8 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.88. The over on 0.5 has hit in 63% of games. Our model projects 0.4, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Tommy Troy went over in 5 of 8 2026 games.
Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/8 | 63% |
| 1.5 | 2/8 | 25% |
Share of 2026 games Troy finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 8 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tommy Troy’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.