EdgeTake

LF · AZ

Tommy Troy — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
8
Total Bases
13
Per Game
1.63
Projection
1.14
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tommy Troy (AZ) sits at 1.63 total bases per game through 8 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.63. They've gone over 0.5 in 75% of those games. We project 1.14, ahead of the 0.66 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 53% to hit, +0.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -117 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Tommy Troy went over in 6 of 8 2026 games.

Our projection 1.14 vs market line 0.66 — edge +0.48.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/875%
1.52/825%
2.52/825%
3.52/825%

Share of 2026 games Troy finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 8 avg
1.63
Season avg
1.63

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 8 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
3.33
Away (5)
0.60
Home edge
+2.73

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-24vs COL4Over
2026-05-25vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-02vs LAD5Over
2026-06-03vs LAD1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tommy Troy’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.