EdgeTake

2B · CLE

Travis Bazzana — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
31
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 31 games this season, Travis Bazzana (CLE) is averaging 0.1 home runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.1 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 10% of those games. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 1.28.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Travis Bazzana went over in 3 of 31 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.28 — edge -1.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/3110%

Share of 2026 games Bazzana finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.06
Away (14)
0.14
Home edge
-0.08

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-28vs TB0Under
2026-04-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs ATH0Under
2026-05-03vs ATH0Under
2026-05-04vs KC0Under
2026-05-05vs KC0Under
2026-05-07vs KC0Under
2026-05-08vs MIN1Over
2026-05-09vs MIN0Under
2026-05-10vs MIN0Under
2026-05-11vs LAA0Under
2026-05-12vs LAA0Under
2026-05-13vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN0Under
2026-05-16vs CIN0Under
2026-05-17vs CIN0Under
2026-05-18vs DET0Under
2026-05-19vs DET1Over
2026-05-20vs DET0Under
2026-05-21vs DET0Under
2026-05-22vs PHI0Under
2026-05-23vs PHI0Under
2026-05-24vs PHI1Over
2026-05-25vs WSH0Under
2026-05-26vs WSH0Under
2026-05-27vs WSH0Under
2026-05-29vs BOS0Under
2026-05-30vs BOS0Under
2026-05-31vs BOS0Under
2026-06-02vs NYY0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Travis Bazzana’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.