LF · MIN
Trevor Larnach — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Trevor Larnach (MIN) sits at 0.54 runs per game through 50 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.7 over the last 10. 40% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.58, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Trevor Larnach went over in 20 of 50 2026 games.
Our projection 0.58 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.08.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/50 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 7/50 | 14% |
Share of 2026 games Larnach finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Trevor Larnach’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.