SS · BOS

Trevor Story — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games

Runs

Per Game

0.39

Projection

0.55

Current Line

—

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

Over	Cleared	Rate
0.5	13/41	32%
1.5	3/41	7%

Share of 2026 games Story finished above each line.

Last 10 avg

0.50

Season avg

0.39

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home (21)

0.33

Away (20)

0.45

Home edge

-0.12

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Trevor Story’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated Jun 3, 7:51 PM ET. Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.