3B · MIN
Tristan Gray — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Tristan Gray (MIN) sits at 0.38 runs per game through 34 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.5. They've gone over 0.5 in 32% of those games. We project 0.44, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Tristan Gray went over in 11 of 34 2026 games.
Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/34 | 32% |
| 1.5 | 2/34 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Gray finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tristan Gray’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.