EdgeTake

3B · MIN

Tristan Gray — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
34
Stolen Bases
2
Per Game
0.06
Projection
0.05
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 34 games this season, Tristan Gray (MIN) is averaging 0.06 stolen bases per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. 6% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.05, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1450 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Tristan Gray went over in 2 of 34 2026 games.

Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.45.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/346%

Share of 2026 games Gray finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.06

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.06
Away (16)
0.06
Home edge
-0.01

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-29vs BAL0Under
2026-04-01vs KC0Under
2026-04-02vs KC0Under
2026-04-03vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-09vs DET0Under
2026-04-10vs TOR0Under
2026-04-12vs TOR0Under
2026-04-14vs BOS0Under
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-19vs CIN0Under
2026-04-23vs NYM0Under
2026-04-24vs TB0Under
2026-04-27vs SEA0Under
2026-04-28vs SEA0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-06vs WSH0Under
2026-05-07vs WSH0Under
2026-05-13vs MIA0Under
2026-05-16vs MIL0Under
2026-05-18vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-28vs CWS1Over
2026-05-29vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under
2026-06-01vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs CWS1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tristan Gray’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.