3B · MIN
Tristan Gray — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 34 games this season, Tristan Gray (MIN) is averaging 1.18 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.3. The over on 0.5 has hit in 59% of games. Our projection of 1.36 sits above the market line of 0.77.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -115 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, +3.7% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Tristan Gray went over in 20 of 34 2026 games.
Our projection 1.36 vs market line 0.77 — edge +0.59.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/34 | 59% |
| 1.5 | 9/34 | 26% |
| 2.5 | 6/34 | 18% |
| 3.5 | 4/34 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Gray finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYM | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tristan Gray’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.