EdgeTake

RF · COL

Troy Johnston — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Runs
24
Per Game
0.42
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Troy Johnston (COL) is averaging 0.42 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 39% of games this season. Our projection of 0.42 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +175 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -211 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Troy Johnston went over in 22 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/5739%
1.52/574%

Share of 2026 games Johnston finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.42

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
0.52
Away (30)
0.33
Home edge
+0.19

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-28vs MIA0Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR1Over
2026-03-31vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs TOR0Under
2026-04-03vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI1Over
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-07vs HOU2Over
2026-04-08vs HOU1Over
2026-04-08vs HOU1Over
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs LAD0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD1Over
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD1Over
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-24vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs NYM0Under
2026-04-26vs NYM0Under
2026-04-28vs CIN0Under
2026-04-30vs CIN1Over
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL1Over
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM0Under
2026-05-07vs NYM1Over
2026-05-08vs PHI1Over
2026-05-09vs PHI1Over
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT1Over
2026-05-14vs PIT0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-17vs AZ2Over
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX1Over
2026-05-22vs AZ1Over
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ1Over
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-26vs LAD1Over
2026-05-27vs LAD1Over
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF1Over
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Troy Johnston’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.