EdgeTake

RF · COL

Tyler Freeman — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Runs
15
Per Game
0.38
Projection
0.47
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tyler Freeman (COL) has averaged 0.38 runs per game across 39 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. 36% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.47 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +140 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -176 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Tyler Freeman went over in 14 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.47 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/3936%
1.51/393%

Share of 2026 games Freeman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.38

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
0.64
Away (25)
0.24
Home edge
+0.40

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-01vs TOR0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU1Over
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD1Over
2026-04-24vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs NYM1Over
2026-04-28vs CIN0Under
2026-04-30vs CIN1Over
2026-05-02vs ATL1Over
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM1Over
2026-05-07vs NYM1Over
2026-05-08vs PHI1Over
2026-05-09vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX1Over
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-26vs LAD1Over
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF1Over
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-06-02vs LAA2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Freeman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.