EdgeTake

C · TOR

Tyler Heineman — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Hits
10
Per Game
0.36
Projection
0.44
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tyler Heineman (TOR) sits at 0.36 hits per game through 28 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 32% of games this season. We project 0.44, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -123 at DraftKings — model 58% to hit, +5.9% EV.

Over 0.5 +100 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -123 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Tyler Heineman went over in 9 of 28 2026 games.

Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/2832%
1.51/284%
2.50/280%

Share of 2026 games Heineman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.36

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (15)
0.47
Away (13)
0.23
Home edge
+0.24

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-29vs ATH1Over
2026-03-31vs COL2Over
2026-04-01vs COL0Under
2026-04-04vs CWS1Over
2026-04-06vs LAD1Over
2026-04-07vs LAD0Under
2026-04-08vs LAD1Over
2026-04-14vs MIL0Under
2026-04-16vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs AZ1Over
2026-04-19vs AZ0Under
2026-04-21vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-24vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs CLE1Over
2026-04-27vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN1Over
2026-05-03vs MIN0Under
2026-05-06vs TB0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA0Under
2026-05-10vs LAA0Under
2026-05-13vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs DET0Under
2026-05-19vs NYY0Under
2026-05-23vs PIT1Over
2026-05-27vs MIA0Under
2026-05-30vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Heineman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.