EdgeTake

C · CIN

Tyler Stephenson — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
47
Total Bases
46
Per Game
0.98
Projection
1.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tyler Stephenson (CIN) sits at 0.98 total bases per game through 47 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.3 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 51% of those games. Our model projects 1.12, a step above the market line of 1.08.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +131 at Caesars — model 42% to hit, -2.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -176 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +131 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Tyler Stephenson went over in 24 of 47 2026 games.

Our projection 1.12 vs market line 1.08 — edge +0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.524/4751%
1.511/4723%
2.56/4713%
3.54/479%

Share of 2026 games Stephenson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.30
Season avg
0.98

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.74
Away (24)
1.21
Home edge
-0.47

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs BOS0Under
2026-03-29vs BOS0Under
2026-03-30vs PIT0Under
2026-04-01vs PIT1Over
2026-04-03vs TEX5Over
2026-04-05vs TEX0Under
2026-04-06vs MIA4Over
2026-04-07vs MIA0Under
2026-04-08vs MIA1Over
2026-04-10vs LAA1Over
2026-04-11vs LAA0Under
2026-04-14vs SF0Under
2026-04-15vs SF1Over
2026-04-18vs MIN0Under
2026-04-18vs MIN1Over
2026-04-19vs MIN1Over
2026-04-20vs TB0Under
2026-04-21vs TB0Under
2026-04-24vs DET2Over
2026-04-25vs DET0Under
2026-04-26vs DET0Under
2026-04-28vs COL1Over
2026-04-29vs COL2Over
2026-04-30vs COL2Over
2026-05-01vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs PIT3Over
2026-05-04vs CHC1Over
2026-05-05vs CHC1Over
2026-05-06vs CHC1Over
2026-05-07vs CHC0Under
2026-05-08vs HOU0Under
2026-05-10vs HOU1Over
2026-05-12vs WSH0Under
2026-05-13vs WSH4Over
2026-05-15vs CLE0Under
2026-05-16vs CLE0Under
2026-05-17vs CLE0Under
2026-05-18vs PHI1Over
2026-05-19vs PHI1Over
2026-05-22vs STL0Under
2026-05-25vs NYM4Over
2026-05-26vs NYM3Over
2026-05-27vs NYM2Over
2026-05-29vs ATL2Over
2026-05-30vs ATL0Under
2026-06-01vs KC0Under
2026-06-02vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Stephenson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.