EdgeTake

2B · KC

Tyler Tolbert — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Hits
2
Per Game
0.29
Projection
0.84
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 7 games this season, Tyler Tolbert (KC) is averaging 0.29 hits per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.29. The over on 0.5 has hit in 29% of games. Our projection of 0.84 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -126 at DraftKings — model 55% to hit, -0.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -126 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Tyler Tolbert went over in 2 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.84 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.34.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/729%
1.50/70%
2.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Tolbert finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.29
Season avg
0.29

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (5)
0.40
Home edge
-0.40

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY1Over
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs CIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Tolbert’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.