EdgeTake

2B · KC

Tyler Tolbert — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Tyler Tolbert (KC) sits at 0 home runs per game through 7 games, with the last 10 steady at 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.1, short of the 1 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Tyler Tolbert went over in 0 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1 — edge -0.9.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Tolbert finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (5)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Tolbert’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.