2B · KC
Tyler Tolbert — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 7 games this season, Tyler Tolbert (KC) is averaging 0.14 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.14. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 14% of games this season. Our model projects 0.55, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Tyler Tolbert went over in 1 of 7 2026 games.
Our projection 0.55 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/7 | 14% |
| 1.5 | 0/7 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Tolbert finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 7 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Tyler Tolbert’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.