CF · TB
Victor Mesa Jr. — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) sits at 0.43 runs per game through 7 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.43. The over on 0.5 has hit in 43% of games. Our projection of 0.4 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Victor Mesa Jr. went over in 3 of 7 2026 games.
Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/7 | 43% |
| 1.5 | 0/7 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 7 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Victor Mesa Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.