1B · TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) sits at 0.05 home runs per game through 59 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. 5% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.1, below the market line of 1.4.
Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went over in 3 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.4 — edge -1.3.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/59 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.