1B · TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 59 games this season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) is averaging 0.59 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 47% of games this season. Our projection of 0.55 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went over in 28 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.55 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 28/59 | 47% |
| 1.5 | 7/59 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.